Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.071588 0.083862 0.097561 0.113977 0.133112 0.154710 0.180942
2026-01-11 0.054923 0.070648 0.089849 0.115003 0.147078 0.186611 0.239058
2026-01-18 0.042787 0.059809 0.082321 0.114234 0.158292 0.216972 0.301112
2026-01-25 0.032969 0.049720 0.073544 0.109833 0.163676 0.240607 0.358954
2026-02-01 0.025610 0.041415 0.065447 0.104549 0.166522 0.260938 0.415811
2026-02-08 0.020787 0.035851 0.060211 0.102324 0.173239 0.287820 0.487141
2026-02-15 0.016962 0.031062 0.055205 0.099358 0.178005 0.312180 0.558610
2026-02-22 0.014565 0.028200 0.052817 0.100253 0.189254 0.348918 0.657236
2026-03-01 0.012419 0.025340 0.049862 0.099493 0.197265 0.381122 0.753222
2026-03-08 0.010365 0.022230 0.045842 0.095907 0.199198 0.402277 0.831923
2026-03-15 0.008981 0.020190 0.043515 0.095187 0.206529 0.434786 0.938229
2026-03-22 0.008148 0.019148 0.043024 0.098146 0.221876 0.485693 1.090759
2026-03-29 0.007387 0.018190 0.042699 0.101790 0.240240 0.547844 1.282800
2026-04-05 0.006617 0.017058 0.041791 0.104009 0.256019 0.607582 1.481752
2026-04-12 0.005828 0.015711 0.040133 0.104167 0.267127 0.659033 1.672059
2026-04-19 0.004966 0.013989 0.037230 0.100689 0.268763 0.688700 1.816103
2026-04-26 0.004196 0.012336 0.034167 0.096177 0.266911 0.709609 1.942627
2026-05-03 0.003658 0.011207 0.032253 0.094344 0.271789 0.748522 2.123925
2026-05-10 0.003171 0.010113 0.030214 0.091745 0.274070 0.781112 2.294814
2026-05-17 0.002870 0.009511 0.029447 0.092663 0.286565 0.843828 2.562502
2026-05-24 0.002559 0.008807 0.028238 0.092018 0.294370 0.894900 2.806833
2026-05-31 0.002219 0.007926 0.026308 0.088735 0.293503 0.920742 2.981196
2026-06-07 0.001989 0.007364 0.025267 0.088093 0.300868 0.972731 3.247024